For those of you still keeping up with the GOP Primary race there is an election tonight. The good citizens of Indiana, North Carolina and West Virginia get their chance tonight.
Shouldn’t be much excitement in the main event. Governor Romney should sweep all three states. With 132 delegates at stake the Governor can run his total to 989 total delegates. That leaves him only 155 delegates shy of final victory. Or does it? More on that in a second. But first there are some games with-in the game tonight that should make for interesting news stories tomorrow morning.
First, in Indiana, Republican Senator Richard Lugar, his friends call him Dick although at the moment it appears he has no friends, is about to lose a primary challenge to the state treasurer. In the ongoing quest by the Republican party to cleanse itself of all those deemed not conservative enough by the Tea Party, Senator Lugar is about to be unseated by little known Richard Murdock, after 35 years in the Senate. Lugar was the Mayor of Indianapolis from 1968 to 1976 before winning his current Senate seat in 1977. He was once known as the George Washington of Indiana.
The big issue that felled Lugar and so angered the Tea Party; Lugar had no idea that his residence was listed as Washington DC, and had less than a clue as to where the DMV sends his mail. He was painted as a DC insider and that was that. Yes, clearly these are the important issue of the day in Indiana. You think there was more to it than that, google it and find me the issue that separates Lugar from Murdock other than this silly business of residence. Even Murdock admits he has been voting for Lugar for years.
On to North Carolina. A gay marriage ban is up for vote by the people of the Tar Heel State. Actually the amendment would not ban gay marriage directly but would define marriage and a union between a man and a women and cement it as law in the state’s constitution. So by implication it bans same-sex marriage. This is much bigger than Lugar getting busted by his own party in Indiana. There are a lot of polls out there that say the American public is ok with gay marriage. Still other polls show that most don’t care one way or the other. So you have to believe the numbers showing favor over against might be misleading. Not caring about something is not the same as being for something. Also, the gay marriage movement has been gaining steam since 2009. This might be a big setback for those that favor gay marriage. Count me among those who care not, one way or the other.
While all this is going on, Governor Romney might have a little problem on his hands. That problem is the Keebler elf, otherwise known as Congressman Ron Paul from Texas. Way back when I tried to define unbound and bound delegates, county caucuses versus state conventions. Read some of those here for a refresher: Unbound Delegates Washington State Caucus
Well it turns out Paul and his campaign are taking advantage of the caucus rules and have been winning the unbound delegates that Romney won during the initial caucus. How has he been doing that? His camp has been going to the state conventions and getting their delegates elected to the national convention where they will likely vote for Romney when the roll is called.
For example, Governor Romney won the Nevada Caucus, taking 14 delegates to Newts, Santorum’s 3 and Paul’s 2. However at the Nevada state convention 22 of the 25 delegates are Paul supporters. Paul realized that the candidates don’t normally take part in the state conventions so he sent his boys to each one and they got elected to fill the delegate positions. In the states where the delegates are not bound to vote for the initial caucus winner. So that means at the national convention when Nevada is called, it is likely the if not guaranteed, most of the delegates will vote for Paul. This situation is occurring in several of the states that held a caucus instead of a straight up primary election. Paul can’t win the nomination this way but mathematically he could keep Romney from winning the nomination on the first roll call at the national convention.
This is more than likely a play by Paul for more influence and personal participation at the national convention and possibly in a Romney White House. Stay tuned, it could get interesting.
Man I love that guy.
Election results late tonight cause, you know, it’s the silly central time zone.